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Final 9-0
Oracle Park
NYM
New York Mets
Clay Holmes
9
@
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Landen Roupp
0
2026-04-05 · 01:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Francisco's 0-3 home record and poor offense (2.33 R/G, .558 OPS) make them a significant underdog despite home field, while NYM's superior pitching (2.50 ERA) should keep the Giants lineup in check."
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -4.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Francisco's 0-3 home record and poor offense (2.33 R/G, .558 OPS) make them a significant underdog despite home field, while NYM's superior pitching (2.50 ERA) should keep the Giants lineup in check."
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's 0-3 home record and poor offense (2.33 R/G, .558 OPS) make them a significant underdog despite home field, while NYM's superior pitching (2.50 ERA) should keep the Giants lineup in check."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SFG
Edge: -1.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SFG -1.5
Edge: -25.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 6.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +104 | -115 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +153 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -124 | -103 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -115) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -104 | -106 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +152 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -108 | -112 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -235 (-1.5) | +195 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -178 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O 102/U -122) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +149 (+1.5) | -181 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +102 | -120 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -194 (-1.5) | +162 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +155 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +104 | -115 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +154 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -110 | -106 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +148 (+1.5) | -182 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.