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Final 2-1
Rate Field
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Brandon Young
2
@
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Grant Taylor
1
2026-04-06 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -15.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Chicago's historically poor pitching staff (7.01 ERA, 1.72 WHIP) is a major liability against a Baltimore offense that is significantly more productive, making BAL the value play despite their poor road record."
run line
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -0.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Chicago's historically poor pitching staff (7.01 ERA, 1.72 WHIP) is a major liability against a Baltimore offense that is significantly more productive, making BAL the value play despite their poor road record."
over under
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Chicago's historically poor pitching staff (7.01 ERA, 1.72 WHIP) is a major liability against a Baltimore offense that is significantly more productive, making BAL the value play despite their poor road record."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BAL
Edge: -15.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CHW -1.5
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -145 | +120 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -135 | +122 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 115/U -135) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -148 | +118 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -113/U -110) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +116 (+1.5) | -143 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -135 | +122 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -140 | +117 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -135 | +115 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -143 | +119 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +113 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -138 | +118 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +128 (+1.5) | -154 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -135 | +122 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 117/U -134) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +118 (+1.5) | -133 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -139 | +118 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -112/U -109) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -141 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.