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Scheduled Wrigley Field
NYM
New York Mets
Tobias Myers
@
CHC
Chicago Cubs
Javier Assad
2026-04-19 · 18:20 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"David Peterson's severe struggles this season (6.41 ERA, 1.83 WHIP) pitching against Chicago's potent offense averaging 5.58 runs per game is the dominant factor favoring the Cubs."

run line 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"David Peterson's severe struggles this season (6.41 ERA, 1.83 WHIP) pitching against Chicago's potent offense averaging 5.58 runs per game is the dominant factor favoring the Cubs."

over under 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"David Peterson's severe struggles this season (6.41 ERA, 1.83 WHIP) pitching against Chicago's potent offense averaging 5.58 runs per game is the dominant factor favoring the Cubs."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"CHC's offensive dominance (5.58 RPG, OPS .748) vs NYM's struggling lineup (OPS .632) in a series where CHC already leads 1-0."

run line 32% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"CHC's offensive dominance (5.58 RPG, OPS .748) vs NYM's struggling lineup (OPS .632) in a series where CHC already leads 1-0."

over under 38% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"CHC's offensive dominance (5.58 RPG, OPS .748) vs NYM's struggling lineup (OPS .632) in a series where CHC already leads 1-0."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CHC
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CHC -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 46% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison

Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.