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Final 8-5
Kauffman Stadium
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Kyle Harrison
8
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Kris Bubic
5
2026-04-05 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's significant offensive advantage (7.5 R/G, .826 OPS) against Kansas City's struggling pitching staff (4.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) is the primary driver, with Bubic's low strikeout rate and high walk rate raising concerns against MIL's potent lineup."
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -34.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's significant offensive advantage (7.5 R/G, .826 OPS) against Kansas City's struggling pitching staff (4.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) is the primary driver, with Bubic's low strikeout rate and high walk rate raising concerns against MIL's potent lineup."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's significant offensive advantage (7.5 R/G, .826 OPS) against Kansas City's struggling pitching staff (4.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) is the primary driver, with Bubic's low strikeout rate and high walk rate raising concerns against MIL's potent lineup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: -0.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL +1.5
Edge: -25.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 11.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +105 | -116 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 108/U -128) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +174 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +105 | -130 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -106) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +106 | -116 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +172 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +101 | -121 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +102 | -122 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +163 (+1.5) | -199 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +102 | -120 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -215 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +105 | -116 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 110/U -126) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +103 | -120 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -112/U -109) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +168 (+1.5) | -208 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.