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Final 2-0
Wrigley Field
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
José Soriano
2
@
CHC
Chicago Cubs
Jameson Taillon
0
2026-03-31 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -6.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Jameson Taillon's lack of 2026 stats introduces significant uncertainty, but his strong career profile (3.87 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) gives CHC a slight edge if he's healthy and sharp at Wrigley."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -13.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Jameson Taillon's lack of 2026 stats introduces significant uncertainty, but his strong career profile (3.87 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) gives CHC a slight edge if he's healthy and sharp at Wrigley."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Jameson Taillon's lack of 2026 stats introduces significant uncertainty, but his strong career profile (3.87 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) gives CHC a slight edge if he's healthy and sharp at Wrigley."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
81%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA
Edge: +35.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
79%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA +1.5
Edge: +13.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
81%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 12.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +120 | -145 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +145 | -160 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -103/U -117) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -178 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +125 | -157 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -107/U -117) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +125 | -138 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +121 | -144 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +140 | -165 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +139 | -168 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.0 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -186 (-1.5) | +153 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +140 | -166 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 6.5 (O -102/U -120) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -192 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +140 | -170 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 6.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +145 | -160 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O 100/U -115) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -178 (-1.5) | +157 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +118 | -139 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -189 (-1.5) | +152 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.