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Final 6-8
Target Field
DET
Detroit Tigers
Framber Valdez
6
@
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Bailey Ober
8
2026-04-08 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
All 3 models agree (away)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -14.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's elite form vs. Minnesota's historically poor early-season offense and Bailey Ober's alarming struggles give Detroit a clear pitching advantage."
run line
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -9.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's elite form vs. Minnesota's historically poor early-season offense and Bailey Ober's alarming struggles give Detroit a clear pitching advantage."
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's elite form vs. Minnesota's historically poor early-season offense and Bailey Ober's alarming struggles give Detroit a clear pitching advantage."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -11.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's elite early-season pitching dominance (1.50 ERA) provides decisive advantage over Bailey Ober's struggling performance (6.75 ERA)."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -6.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's elite early-season pitching dominance (1.50 ERA) provides decisive advantage over Bailey Ober's struggling performance (6.75 ERA)."
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's elite early-season pitching dominance (1.50 ERA) provides decisive advantage over Bailey Ober's struggling performance (6.75 ERA)."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET
Edge: -17.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET +1.5
Edge: -5.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -135 | +115 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -125 | +113 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +116 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -152 | +123 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -118) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +114 (+1.5) | -141 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -146 | +131 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -152 | +127 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -131 | +109 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -104) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +129 (+1.5) | -156 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -126 | +108 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -125 | +113 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +119 (+1.5) | -134 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -156 | +132 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -109) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +108 (+1.5) | -132 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.