Back to Schedule
Final 4-2
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Parker Messick
4
@
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Roki Sasaki
2
2026-03-31 · 02:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
68%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +3.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The Dodgers' dominant 3-0 start backed by elite team pitching metrics gives them a strong edge at home, while Parker Messick's lack of 2026 data and limited MLB experience create significant risk for Cleveland."
run line
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -0.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The Dodgers' dominant 3-0 start backed by elite team pitching metrics gives them a strong edge at home, while Parker Messick's lack of 2026 data and limited MLB experience create significant risk for Cleveland."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: +1.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The Dodgers' dominant 3-0 start backed by elite team pitching metrics gives them a strong edge at home, while Parker Messick's lack of 2026 data and limited MLB experience create significant risk for Cleveland."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD
Edge: -16.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
77%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD -1.5
Edge: +28.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
67%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Edge: +13.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +165 | -200 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +160 | -177 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -132 (-1.5) | +112 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +170 | -220 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -124/U 100) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -124 (-1.5) | +100 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +157 | -178 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +156 | -190 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +158 | -190 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +163 | -199 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -123/U 102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -126 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +154 | -184 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U -102) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +108 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +155 | -190 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +160 | -177 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -123/U 107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +159 | -189 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -129 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.