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Final 2-3
Fenway Park
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Jacob Misiorowski
2
@
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Garrett Crochet
3
2026-04-07 · 22:45 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
All 3 models agree (away)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -0.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Garrett Crochet's elite control and strikeout profile anchors Boston's chances, but Milwaukee's dominant offense (6.67 R/G) makes this closer than the moneyline suggests."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -23.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Garrett Crochet's elite control and strikeout profile anchors Boston's chances, but Milwaukee's dominant offense (6.67 R/G) makes this closer than the moneyline suggests."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.0
Edge: -12.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Garrett Crochet's elite control and strikeout profile anchors Boston's chances, but Milwaukee's dominant offense (6.67 R/G) makes this closer than the moneyline suggests."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +6.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's elite pitching (2.45 ERA, 14.73 K/9) combined with Boston's league-worst offensive production (.226 BA) makes the Brewers heavy favorites in this series game 2."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -23.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's elite pitching (2.45 ERA, 14.73 K/9) combined with Boston's league-worst offensive production (.226 BA) makes the Brewers heavy favorites in this series game 2."
over under
68%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.0
Edge: +13.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's elite pitching (2.45 ERA, 14.73 K/9) combined with Boston's league-worst offensive production (.226 BA) makes the Brewers heavy favorites in this series game 2."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: +3.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL +1.5
Edge: -23.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
57%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Edge: +2.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +135 | -160 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 6.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +119 | -131 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 115/U -135) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -163 (-1.5) | +143 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +133 | -167 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 6.5 (O -103/U -122) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +137 | -153 | |
| BetUS | over under | 6.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Bovada | over under | 6.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O 115/U -135) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +143 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +113 | -136 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O 113/U -136) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +120 | -142 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +115 | -140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +119 | -131 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 117/U -134) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -163 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +136 | -161 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 6.0 (O -120/U -101) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -174 (-1.5) | +141 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.