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Final 6-5
Kauffman Stadium
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Grant Taylor
6
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Noah Cameron
5
2026-04-12 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -36.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Noah Cameron's dominant early-season performance (1.69 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) paired against an unnamed CHW starter gives Kansas City a decisive pitching advantage in this matchup."
run line
29%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -30.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Noah Cameron's dominant early-season performance (1.69 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) paired against an unnamed CHW starter gives Kansas City a decisive pitching advantage in this matchup."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Noah Cameron's dominant early-season performance (1.69 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) paired against an unnamed CHW starter gives Kansas City a decisive pitching advantage in this matchup."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -44.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Noah Cameron's elite pitching dominance against MLB's worst offensive team makes Kansas City the clear favorite at home."
run line
19%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -40.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Noah Cameron's elite pitching dominance against MLB's worst offensive team makes Kansas City the clear favorite at home."
over under
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Noah Cameron's elite pitching dominance against MLB's worst offensive team makes Kansas City the clear favorite at home."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR
Edge: -34.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR -1.5
Edge: -24.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 6.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +260 | -350 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 11.5 (O 110/U -140) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -135 (-2.5) | +105 (+2.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +156 | -173 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +220 | -335 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 11.0 (O -105/U -136) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -114 (-1.5) | -121 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +154 | -175 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +105 | -135 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -125) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -145 (-1.0) | +110 (+1.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +290 | -400 | |
| Caesars | over under | 10.5 (O -140/U 110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -125 (-2.5) | -105 (+2.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +266 | -378 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 11.5 (O 100/U -131) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -127 (-2.5) | -102 (+2.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +280 | -390 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 10.5 (O -152/U 114) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +112 (-1.5) | -148 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +225 | -310 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 11.5 (O 115/U -150) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -150 (-2.5) | +115 (+2.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +156 | -173 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -116/U 101) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -128 (-1.5) | +113 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +151 | -179 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -136 (-1.5) | +111 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.