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Final 3-6
Rate Field
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Mason Fluharty
3
@
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Grant Taylor
6
2026-04-04 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -10.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Chicago White Sox's historically poor pitching (8.63 ERA, 2.0 WHIP, 6.06 BB/9) gives Toronto a massive advantage against an experienced Eric Lauer facing a struggling CHW lineup."
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: -8.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Chicago White Sox's historically poor pitching (8.63 ERA, 2.0 WHIP, 6.06 BB/9) gives Toronto a massive advantage against an experienced Eric Lauer facing a struggling CHW lineup."
over under
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 7.5
Edge: -11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Chicago White Sox's historically poor pitching (8.63 ERA, 2.0 WHIP, 6.06 BB/9) gives Toronto a massive advantage against an experienced Eric Lauer facing a struggling CHW lineup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR
Edge: -9.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR +1.5
Edge: -6.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
69%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.0
Edge: +19.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -155 | +130 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +105 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -140 | +127 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +107 (+1.5) | -127 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -157 | +125 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -108/U -115) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -138 | +125 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +105 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -148 | +124 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -145 | +122 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -143 | +119 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O 102/U -122) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +109 (+1.5) | -131 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -148 | +126 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +114 (+1.5) | -137 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -145 | +120 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -140 | +127 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -145 | +123 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +104 (+1.5) | -129 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.