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Final 3-2 Yankee Stadium
OAK
Oakland Athletics
Luis Severino
3
@
NYY
New York Yankees
Will Warren
2
2026-04-08 · 23:05 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 49% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"New York's historically dominant pitching staff (2.35 ERA) faces a struggling Oakland lineup hitting .228 with a 32.7% strikeout rate, making NYY heavy favorites at home."

run line 30% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"New York's historically dominant pitching staff (2.35 ERA) faces a struggling Oakland lineup hitting .228 with a 32.7% strikeout rate, making NYY heavy favorites at home."

over under 51% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"New York's historically dominant pitching staff (2.35 ERA) faces a struggling Oakland lineup hitting .228 with a 32.7% strikeout rate, making NYY heavy favorites at home."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 82% HIGH The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Yankees' dominant pitching advantage (2.35 team ERA vs 5.51) combined with far superior record (7-2) heavily favors home victory."

run line 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Yankees' dominant pitching advantage (2.35 team ERA vs 5.51) combined with far superior record (7-2) heavily favors home victory."

over under 72% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Yankees' dominant pitching advantage (2.35 team ERA vs 5.51) combined with far superior record (7-2) heavily favors home victory."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 50% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
run line 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
over under 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.