Back to Schedule
Final 4-1
Truist Park
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Seth Lugo
4
@
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Grant Holmes
1
2026-03-29 · 17:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +11.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Atlanta's explosive offense (6.0 R/G, .907 OPS) against a Kansas City team batting .161 with a 6.61 ERA creates a massive talent gap that favors the Braves at home."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -3.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Atlanta's explosive offense (6.0 R/G, .907 OPS) against a Kansas City team batting .161 with a 6.61 ERA creates a massive talent gap that favors the Braves at home."
over under
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Edge: +2.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Atlanta's explosive offense (6.0 R/G, .907 OPS) against a Kansas City team batting .161 with a 6.61 ERA creates a massive talent gap that favors the Braves at home."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
89%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL
Edge: +28.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
92%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL -1.5
Edge: +49.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
80%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.0
Edge: +28.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +125 | -155 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +139 | -153 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -107) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -153 (-1.5) | +133 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +132 | -167 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -117/U -107) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +137 | -153 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +138 | -164 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +126 | -153 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -169 (-1.5) | +139 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +128 | -152 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -114/U -106) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -162 (-1.5) | +134 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +135 | -165 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +139 | -153 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -104) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -152 (-1.5) | +134 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +130 | -154 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -156 (-1.5) | +128 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.