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Final 5-2
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TEX
Texas Rangers
Jack Leiter
5
@
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Chris Bassitt
2
2026-03-30 · 22:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
57%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +1.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Chris Bassitt's veteran control and significantly better career ERA give Baltimore a meaningful pitching edge over the still-developing Jack Leiter."
run line
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Chris Bassitt's veteran control and significantly better career ERA give Baltimore a meaningful pitching edge over the still-developing Jack Leiter."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Edge: +2.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Chris Bassitt's veteran control and significantly better career ERA give Baltimore a meaningful pitching edge over the still-developing Jack Leiter."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Edge: +10.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX +1.5
Edge: -13.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
78%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Edge: +25.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +115 | -125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +113 | -125 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +157 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +110 | -136 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -106/U -118) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +114 | -125 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +111 | -133 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +109 | -131 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -186 (-1.5) | +153 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +108 | -126 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +113 | -125 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +109 | -128 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -116/U -105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +147 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.