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Final 1-8
Daikin Park
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Ranger Suarez
1
@
HOU
Houston Astros
Lance McCullers Jr.
8
2026-03-31 · 00:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -4.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Ranger Suarez's strong career track record (3.38 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) gives Boston a slight pitching edge over a Houston team with a bloated 6.17 team ERA to start the season."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME +1.5
Edge: -1.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Ranger Suarez's strong career track record (3.38 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) gives Boston a slight pitching edge over a Houston team with a bloated 6.17 team ERA to start the season."
over under
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: -1.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Ranger Suarez's strong career track record (3.38 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) gives Boston a slight pitching edge over a Houston team with a bloated 6.17 team ERA to start the season."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOU
Edge: +24.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
73%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOU -1.5
Edge: +13.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
67%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Edge: +17.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
PUSH
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +127 | -140 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -124 | +100 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -113/U -110) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +132 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -122 | +111 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -124 | +104 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -131 | +109 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +129 (+1.5) | -156 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +134 | -158 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -176 (-1.5) | +146 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +120 | -145 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +127 | -140 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +132 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -128 | +110 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -154 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.