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Final 3-1
Oracle Park
NYY
New York Yankees
Will Warren
3
@
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Tyler Mahle
1
2026-03-28 · 23:15 UTC
Predictions
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
78%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +22.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Francisco's historically catastrophic offensive start (0 runs, .068 BA across 2 games) against New York's undefeated team with strong run-scoring ability creates a significant talent and momentum disparity."
run line
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +29.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Francisco's historically catastrophic offensive start (0 runs, .068 BA across 2 games) against New York's undefeated team with strong run-scoring ability creates a significant talent and momentum disparity."
over under
75%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: +21.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Francisco's historically catastrophic offensive start (0 runs, .068 BA across 2 games) against New York's undefeated team with strong run-scoring ability creates a significant talent and momentum disparity."
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -120 | -102 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 6.5 (O -140/U 110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +154 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -128 | +116 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -107 | -129 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -112/U -127) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -177 (-1.0) | +125 (+1.0) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -120 | +109 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -115 | -115 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -125) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +120 (+1.0) | -155 (-1.0) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -105 | -123 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 6.5 (O -139/U 107) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +156 (+1.5) | -207 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -120 | -106 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 6.5 (O -128/U -104) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +154 (+1.5) | -210 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -128 | +116 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +132 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -125 | -105 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -133/U -105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -182 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.