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Final 2-8
Kauffman Stadium
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Logan Henderson
2
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Seth Lugo
8
2026-04-03 · 23:45 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
30%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -24.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's massive offensive advantage (7.5 R/G vs KC's 4.4) and superior team pitching gives them an edge despite Michael Wacha's impressive but small-sample early performance."
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -0.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's massive offensive advantage (7.5 R/G vs KC's 4.4) and superior team pitching gives them an edge despite Michael Wacha's impressive but small-sample early performance."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: -9.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's massive offensive advantage (7.5 R/G vs KC's 4.4) and superior team pitching gives them an edge despite Michael Wacha's impressive but small-sample early performance."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: -18.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR -1.5
Edge: -24.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 12.0
Edge: +10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O 110/U -130) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -121 | -104 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -167 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -116 | +106 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -116 | -104 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O 110/U -130) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O 109/U -131) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +141 (+1.5) | -171 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +102 | -120 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -195 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O 112/U -128) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +146 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -119 | +101 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +131 (+1.5) | -161 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.