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Final 2-1
Coors Field
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Jesús Luzardo
2
@
COL
Colorado Rockies
Brennan Bernardino
1
2026-04-05 · 00:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -27.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Colorado has no confirmed starting pitcher for this Coors Field game, creating a major pitching disadvantage against Jesús Luzardo and the Phillies."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -18.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Colorado has no confirmed starting pitcher for this Coors Field game, creating a major pitching disadvantage against Jesús Luzardo and the Phillies."
over under
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 11.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Colorado has no confirmed starting pitcher for this Coors Field game, creating a major pitching disadvantage against Jesús Luzardo and the Phillies."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
COL
Edge: +15.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
COL -1.5
Edge: -2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -250 | +200 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 10.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +100 (+2.5) | -120 (-2.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -163 | +147 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 11.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -160 (+1.5) | +140 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -250 | +195 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 10.5 (O -104/U -121) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -152 (+1.5) | +120 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -235 | +202 | |
| BetUS | over under | 10.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -160 (+1.5) | +140 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -245 | +200 | |
| Bovada | over under | 10.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -150 (+1.5) | +130 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -170 | +143 | |
| Caesars | over under | 11.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -165 (+1.5) | +140 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -171 | +141 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 11.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -163 (+1.5) | +135 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -162 | +136 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 11.0 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -113 (+1.5) | -106 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -170 | +140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 11.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -110 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -163 | +147 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 11.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -160 (+1.5) | +141 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -250 | +207 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -109/U -112) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -104 (+2.5) | -116 (-2.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.