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Final 9-2
Tropicana Field
CHC
Chicago Cubs
Javier Assad
9
@
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Mason Englert
2
2026-04-07 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -8.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Drew Rasmussen's exceptional early-season performance (1.80 ERA, 0.70 WHIP) against a Cubs offense batting just .206 with a 28.2% strikeout rate is the dominant factor in this game."
run line
27%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -39.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Drew Rasmussen's exceptional early-season performance (1.80 ERA, 0.70 WHIP) against a Cubs offense batting just .206 with a 28.2% strikeout rate is the dominant factor in this game."
over under
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: -11.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Drew Rasmussen's exceptional early-season performance (1.80 ERA, 0.70 WHIP) against a Cubs offense batting just .206 with a 28.2% strikeout rate is the dominant factor in this game."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -5.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Drew Rasmussen's exceptional early-season form (1.80 ERA) combined with Chicago's league-worst offensive metrics creates a strong advantage for Tampa Bay at home."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -27.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Drew Rasmussen's exceptional early-season form (1.80 ERA) combined with Chicago's league-worst offensive metrics creates a strong advantage for Tampa Bay at home."
over under
68%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: +16.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Drew Rasmussen's exceptional early-season form (1.80 ERA) combined with Chicago's league-worst offensive metrics creates a strong advantage for Tampa Bay at home."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR
Edge: -6.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR -1.5
Edge: -13.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Edge: -7.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -102 | -118 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -103 | -122 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -117/U -106) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +170 (+1.5) | -220 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +104 | -114 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -101 | -119 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +154 (+1.5) | -187 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +100 | -118 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +164 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -195 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -209 (-1.5) | +182 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -101 | -116 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.