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Final 10-3
Oracle Park
NYM
New York Mets
Nolan McLean
10
@
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Tyler Mahle
3
2026-04-04 · 02:15 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
28%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -28.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Francisco's historically poor early-season offense (.154 team BA per reports) against a Mets team with superior pitching metrics makes NYM the likely favorite despite being on the road."
run line
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -7.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Francisco's historically poor early-season offense (.154 team BA per reports) against a Mets team with superior pitching metrics makes NYM the likely favorite despite being on the road."
over under
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's historically poor early-season offense (.154 team BA per reports) against a Mets team with superior pitching metrics makes NYM the likely favorite despite being on the road."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SFG
Edge: -1.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SFG -1.5
Edge: -15.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 6.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -125 | +113 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -134 | +107 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -121/U -104) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -162 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -125 | +114 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -132 | +110 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -131 | +109 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +129 (+1.5) | -156 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -124 | +106 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U -102) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -125 | +113 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +132 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +129 (+1.5) | -159 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.