Back to Schedule
Final 8-6
Fenway Park
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Brandon Woodruff
8
@
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Brayan Bello
6
2026-04-06 · 22:45 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -8.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Brandon Woodruff's elite performance against Boston's anemic offense (3.0 R/G, .660 OPS) combined with Boston's unconfirmed starter gives Milwaukee a decisive edge."
run line
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +0.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Brandon Woodruff's elite performance against Boston's anemic offense (3.0 R/G, .660 OPS) combined with Boston's unconfirmed starter gives Milwaukee a decisive edge."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Edge: -9.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Brandon Woodruff's elite performance against Boston's anemic offense (3.0 R/G, .660 OPS) combined with Boston's unconfirmed starter gives Milwaukee a decisive edge."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: -5.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL +1.5
Edge: +3.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Edge: +0.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +131 | -145 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -129 | +104 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -114/U -109) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -167 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -118 | +108 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +122 | -145 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -178 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +123 | -149 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -186 (-1.5) | +153 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +140 | -166 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.0 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -172 (-1.5) | +142 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +131 | -145 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +136 (+1.5) | -154 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -122 | +104 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +132 (+1.5) | -161 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.