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Final 4-5
Petco Park
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman
4
@
SDP
San Diego Padres
Germán Márquez
5
2026-07-12 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
56%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
TOR
Edge: +0.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
run line
34%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
TOR +1.5
Edge: -10.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
over under
47%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -105 | -120 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -135/U 105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +260 (+1.5) | -350 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -123 | +112 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +127 (+1.5) | -147 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -114 | -122 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -104/U -136) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +155 (+1.0) | -220 (-1.0) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -123 | +112 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -105 | -125 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -145/U 110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +220 (+1.5) | -300 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -115 | -115 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -140/U 110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +240 (+1.5) | -320 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -103 | -126 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -143/U 110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +237 (+1.5) | -331 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -108 | -118 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -138/U 104) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -600 (-1.5) | +370 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -110 | -120 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -145/U 110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +225 (+1.5) | -310 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -123 | +112 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +129 (+1.5) | -146 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +145 | -182 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -133/U 100) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -250 (-1.5) | +185 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.