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Final 2-0
Globe Life Field
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Rhett Lowder
2
@
TEX
Texas Rangers
Kumar Rocker
0
2026-04-04 · 23:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -16.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Texas's massive offensive advantage (5.33 R/G vs 2.83) and Cincinnati's league-worst early-season batting average (.187) make the Rangers strong favorites, though the unknown TEX starter introduces significant uncertainty."
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +0.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Texas's massive offensive advantage (5.33 R/G vs 2.83) and Cincinnati's league-worst early-season batting average (.187) make the Rangers strong favorites, though the unknown TEX starter introduces significant uncertainty."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Texas's massive offensive advantage (5.33 R/G vs 2.83) and Cincinnati's league-worst early-season batting average (.187) make the Rangers strong favorites, though the unknown TEX starter introduces significant uncertainty."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Edge: -9.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX -1.5
Edge: +1.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
61%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +118 | -140 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +107 | -118 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +147 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +118 | -150 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -107/U -117) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -186 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +126 | -140 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +120 | -143 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +143 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +104 | -126 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +100 | -118 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +158 (+1.5) | -192 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +107 | -118 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +148 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +121 | -143 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -112/U -109) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -169 (-1.5) | +138 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.