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Final 8-6
Fenway Park
SDP
San Diego Padres
Walker Buehler
8
@
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Ranger Suarez
6
2026-04-05 · 17:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -7.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Both starting pitchers have been poor early in 2026, but Ranger Suarez's higher ERA and WHIP give SDP a slight edge if Buehler can approach his career norms."
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -25.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Both starting pitchers have been poor early in 2026, but Ranger Suarez's higher ERA and WHIP give SDP a slight edge if Buehler can approach his career norms."
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Both starting pitchers have been poor early in 2026, but Ranger Suarez's higher ERA and WHIP give SDP a slight edge if Buehler can approach his career norms."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS
Edge: -18.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS -1.5
Edge: -6.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 6.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +136 | -150 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -147 (-1.5) | +127 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +128 | -159 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -112/U -112) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -162 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +134 | -150 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +135 | -161 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +135 | -160 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +129 | -156 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -122/U 102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -156 (-1.5) | +129 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +130 | -154 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -154 (-1.5) | +128 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +136 | -150 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -123/U 107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -146 (-1.5) | +129 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +131 | -154 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -157 (-1.5) | +128 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.