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Final 4-1
Rogers Centre
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4
@
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman
1
2026-04-07 · 23:07 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
All 3 models agree (away)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kevin Gausman's historically dominant early-season numbers against LAD's potent offense is the central matchup, but TOR's overall offensive struggles and injury pile-up give LAD a clear edge."
run line
27%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: -19.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kevin Gausman's historically dominant early-season numbers against LAD's potent offense is the central matchup, but TOR's overall offensive struggles and injury pile-up give LAD a clear edge."
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: -14.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kevin Gausman's historically dominant early-season numbers against LAD's potent offense is the central matchup, but TOR's overall offensive struggles and injury pile-up give LAD a clear edge."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's dominant offensive metrics and superior pitching matchup combined with TOR's alarming 0-3 road record and injury-depleted roster create a strong advantage for the visiting Dodgers."
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -6.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's dominant offensive metrics and superior pitching matchup combined with TOR's alarming 0-3 road record and injury-depleted roster create a strong advantage for the visiting Dodgers."
over under
65%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: +14.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's dominant offensive metrics and superior pitching matchup combined with TOR's alarming 0-3 road record and injury-depleted roster create a strong advantage for the visiting Dodgers."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD
Edge: -19.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD +1.5
Edge: -0.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.0
Edge: -2.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -155 | +130 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -153 | +139 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +114 (+1.5) | -134 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -159 | +128 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -109/U -114) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +112 (+1.5) | -139 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -145 | +130 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -150 | +126 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -160 | +135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -163 | +135 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +113 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -152 | +128 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +118 (+1.5) | -142 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -165 | +135 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -153 | +139 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +117 (+1.5) | -132 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -149 | +126 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -116) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -141 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.