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Final 8-5 Rate Field
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Shane McClanahan
8
@
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Noah Schultz
5
2026-04-14 · 23:40 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line All 3 models agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -16.4% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"CHW's historically poor offense (.192 BA, 31.8% K rate, 2.87 R/G) against a returning Shane McClanahan with a career 3.03 ERA makes Tampa Bay a strong favorite regardless of the unknown home starter."

run line 33% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: -10.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"CHW's historically poor offense (.192 BA, 31.8% K rate, 2.87 R/G) against a returning Shane McClanahan with a career 3.03 ERA makes Tampa Bay a strong favorite regardless of the unknown home starter."

over under 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"CHW's historically poor offense (.192 BA, 31.8% K rate, 2.87 R/G) against a returning Shane McClanahan with a career 3.03 ERA makes Tampa Bay a strong favorite regardless of the unknown home starter."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 58% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +0.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"TBR's elite pitcher McClanahan facing a CHW team with the worst batting average in baseball provides significant pitching advantage."

run line 20% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -23.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"TBR's elite pitcher McClanahan facing a CHW team with the worst batting average in baseball provides significant pitching advantage."

over under 30% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"TBR's elite pitcher McClanahan facing a CHW team with the worst batting average in baseball provides significant pitching advantage."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR
Edge: -16.4% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR +1.5
Edge: -9.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
over under 54% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

Odds Comparison
Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline -135 +115
BetMGM over under 8.0 (O -110/U -110)
BetMGM run line +125 (+1.5) -155 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -110 +100
BetOnline.ag over under 8.5 (O 100/U -120)
BetOnline.ag run line +128 (+1.5) -148 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline -143 +116
BetRivers over under 7.5 (O -118/U -106)
BetRivers run line +120 (+1.5) -152 (-1.5)
BetUS moneyline -130 +118
BetUS over under 8.0 (O -110/U -110)
BetUS run line +130 (+1.5) -150 (-1.5)
Bovada moneyline -134 +112
Bovada over under 8.0 (O -110/U -110)
Bovada run line +130 (+1.5) -150 (-1.5)
Caesars moneyline -115 -105
Caesars over under 8.0 (O -110/U -110)
Caesars run line +158 (+1.5) -190 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -115 -105
DraftKings over under 8.0 (O -110/U -110)
DraftKings run line +149 (+1.5) -181 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -104 -112
FanDuel over under 8.0 (O 100/U -122)
FanDuel run line +162 (+1.5) -196 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -115 -105
Fanatics over under 8.0 (O -115/U -105)
Fanatics run line +155 (+1.5) -190 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -110 +100
LowVig.ag over under 8.5 (O 103/U -118)
LowVig.ag run line +130 (+1.5) -147 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -137 +116
MyBookie.ag over under 8.0 (O -106/U -115)
MyBookie.ag run line +123 (+1.5) -152 (-1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.