Back to Schedule
Final 2-7
Wrigley Field
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson
2
@
CHC
Chicago Cubs
Edward Cabrera
7
2026-03-30 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -4.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Ryan Johnson's extreme inexperience (career ERA 7.36, 0 career starts, 14.2 innings) versus Edward Cabrera's established 431-inning track record is the decisive pitching mismatch favoring Chicago."
run line
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +0.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Ryan Johnson's extreme inexperience (career ERA 7.36, 0 career starts, 14.2 innings) versus Edward Cabrera's established 431-inning track record is the decisive pitching mismatch favoring Chicago."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.5
Edge: +3.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Ryan Johnson's extreme inexperience (career ERA 7.36, 0 career starts, 14.2 innings) versus Edward Cabrera's established 431-inning track record is the decisive pitching mismatch favoring Chicago."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA
Edge: +15.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
61%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CHC -1.5
Edge: +11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
67%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 11.5
Edge: +15.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +155 | -190 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 10.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +121 | -133 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -113/U -107) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -122 (-1.5) | +102 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +155 | -195 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 10.0 (O -106/U -118) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +158 | -180 | |
| BetUS | over under | 10.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +156 | -190 | |
| Bovada | over under | 10.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +158 | -190 | |
| Caesars | over under | 10.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +159 | -194 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 10.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -126 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +118 | -138 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +115 | -140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +121 | -133 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -110/U -104) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -119 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +156 | -185 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 10.0 (O -114/U -108) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -127 (-1.5) | +103 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.