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Final 1-2
T-Mobile Park
NYY
New York Yankees
Ryan Weathers
1
@
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Luis Castillo
2
2026-03-31 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (home)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +8.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Luis Castillo's proven ace-level career profile (3.55 ERA, 9.53 K/9) provides Seattle with a decisive pitching advantage over Ryan Weathers, whose 4.93 career ERA makes him a clear liability in this matchup."
run line
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -17.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Luis Castillo's proven ace-level career profile (3.55 ERA, 9.53 K/9) provides Seattle with a decisive pitching advantage over Ryan Weathers, whose 4.93 career ERA makes him a clear liability in this matchup."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Edge: +4.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Luis Castillo's proven ace-level career profile (3.55 ERA, 9.53 K/9) provides Seattle with a decisive pitching advantage over Ryan Weathers, whose 4.93 career ERA makes him a clear liability in this matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA
Edge: +0.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY +1.5
Edge: +12.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Edge: -5.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -118 | -102 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -112 | +102 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -163 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -124 | +100 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -112/U -112) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -177 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -117 | +107 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -121 | +101 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -122 | +102 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +139 (+1.5) | -168 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -120 | +102 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +152 (+1.5) | -184 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -112 | +102 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -163 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -119 | +101 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +141 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.