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Final 5-2
Kauffman Stadium
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Chad Patrick
5
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Luinder Avila
2
2026-04-04 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -7.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's dominant early-season offense (7.5 R/G, .826 OPS) paired with KCR's shaky pitching staff (4.36 ERA) creates a strong run-scoring environment that favors the Brewers, though Seth Lugo's proven career excellence could suppress MIL's output."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +0.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's dominant early-season offense (7.5 R/G, .826 OPS) paired with KCR's shaky pitching staff (4.36 ERA) creates a strong run-scoring environment that favors the Brewers, though Seth Lugo's proven career excellence could suppress MIL's output."
over under
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's dominant early-season offense (7.5 R/G, .826 OPS) paired with KCR's shaky pitching staff (4.36 ERA) creates a strong run-scoring environment that favors the Brewers, though Seth Lugo's proven career excellence could suppress MIL's output."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: -9.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL +1.5
Edge: -0.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 12.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +154 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +107 | -118 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -198 (-1.5) | +173 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -109 | -113 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -117) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +109 | -120 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +172 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -101 | -119 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +157 (+1.5) | -192 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +112 | -132 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +107 | -118 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -198 (-1.5) | +174 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -102 | -115 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -116/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +175 (+1.5) | -221 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.