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Final 2-0
Kauffman Stadium
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Anthony Kay
2
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Seth Lugo
0
2026-04-09 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -18.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kansas City's clear pitching and offensive advantages over a struggling White Sox club make them the comfortable favorite, but Anthony Kay's extreme walk rate this season is the biggest wildcard that could inflate the total."
run line
28%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -20.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kansas City's clear pitching and offensive advantages over a struggling White Sox club make them the comfortable favorite, but Anthony Kay's extreme walk rate this season is the biggest wildcard that could inflate the total."
over under
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kansas City's clear pitching and offensive advantages over a struggling White Sox club make them the comfortable favorite, but Anthony Kay's extreme walk rate this season is the biggest wildcard that could inflate the total."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -18.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"CHW's poor road performance (1-5) and weak offense (.206 BA) face a superior KCR team with better pitching and home-field advantage."
run line
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -7.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"CHW's poor road performance (1-5) and weak offense (.206 BA) face a superior KCR team with better pitching and home-field advantage."
over under
65%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"CHW's poor road performance (1-5) and weak offense (.206 BA) face a superior KCR team with better pitching and home-field advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR
Edge: -25.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR -1.5
Edge: -16.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +154 | -170 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +150 | -190 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -108) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -139 (-1.5) | +112 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +154 | -175 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +152 | -184 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +143 | -170 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +122 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +144 | -175 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -149 (-1.5) | +123 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +152 | -180 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -137 (-1.5) | +114 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +154 | -170 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -122 (-1.5) | +108 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +156 | -185 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -116/U -105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -133 (-1.5) | +108 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.