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Final 8-5
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TEX
Texas Rangers
Jacob deGrom
8
@
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Zach Eflin
5
2026-03-31 · 22:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BAL
Edge: +2.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The absence of a known TEX starter creates significant uncertainty, but Zach Eflin's veteran presence and BAL's home field advantage provide a slim edge for the Orioles."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX +1.5
Edge: +8.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The absence of a known TEX starter creates significant uncertainty, but Zach Eflin's veteran presence and BAL's home field advantage provide a slim edge for the Orioles."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The absence of a known TEX starter creates significant uncertainty, but Zach Eflin's veteran presence and BAL's home field advantage provide a slim edge for the Orioles."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Edge: +2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX +1.5
Edge: +7.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
78%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -124 | +113 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -117/U -103) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +128 (+1.5) | -148 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -130 | +105 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -106) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -162 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -123 | +112 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -128 | +107 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -126 | +104 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -122/U 102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +129 (+1.5) | -156 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -130 | +110 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +128 (+1.5) | -154 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -124 | +113 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U 100) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -147 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -125 | +106 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U -101) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +134 (+1.5) | -164 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.