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Final 2-3
Citizens Bank Park
WSN
Washington Nationals
PJ Poulin
2
@
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Andrew Painter
3
2026-03-31 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -15.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Washington's hot offense (6.0 R/G, .820 OPS) against a Philadelphia team that is struggling to score (.57 OPS) makes this a competitive game leaning slightly toward the home side due to Painter's upside and home field."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -2.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Washington's hot offense (6.0 R/G, .820 OPS) against a Philadelphia team that is struggling to score (.57 OPS) makes this a competitive game leaning slightly toward the home side due to Painter's upside and home field."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Washington's hot offense (6.0 R/G, .820 OPS) against a Philadelphia team that is struggling to score (.57 OPS) makes this a competitive game leaning slightly toward the home side due to Painter's upside and home field."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN
Edge: +21.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN +1.5
Edge: +5.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +155 | -190 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +213 | -239 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -107/U -113) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -118 (-1.5) | -102 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +165 | -210 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -113) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -129 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +160 | -182 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -120 (-1.5) | +100 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +157 | -192 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +210 | -260 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +209 | -259 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -123 (-1.5) | +102 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +225 | -275 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O 102/U -124) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +102 (-1.5) | -122 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +205 | -255 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +213 | -239 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -104/U -110) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -115 (-1.5) | +101 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +162 | -192 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -109/U -112) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +102 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.