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Final 1-4
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Tanner Bibee
1
@
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani
4
2026-04-01 · 02:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
68%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -5.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Shohei Ohtani starting on the mound against Cleveland's struggling offense (.195 BA, 35.3% K rate) is the decisive matchup advantage for Los Angeles."
run line
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +0.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Shohei Ohtani starting on the mound against Cleveland's struggling offense (.195 BA, 35.3% K rate) is the decisive matchup advantage for Los Angeles."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Shohei Ohtani starting on the mound against Cleveland's struggling offense (.195 BA, 35.3% K rate) is the decisive matchup advantage for Los Angeles."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
76%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD
Edge: +2.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
86%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD -1.5
Edge: +31.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +220 | -275 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +203 | -227 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +195 | -250 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -110 (-1.5) | -113 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +218 | -255 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +220 | -270 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +205 | -250 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +218 | -271 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +205 | -250 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +220 | -275 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +203 | -227 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -109/U -105) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +103 (-1.5) | -117 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +221 | -270 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +101 (-1.5) | -123 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.