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Final 3-6
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
TEX
Texas Rangers
Jack Leiter
3
@
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Emmet Sheehan
6
2026-04-12 · 01:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -17.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The Dodgers' elite offense averaging 6.25 runs per game against Jack Leiter — whose career numbers suggest significant regression risk — makes LAD a strong home favorite."
run line
28%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -18.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The Dodgers' elite offense averaging 6.25 runs per game against Jack Leiter — whose career numbers suggest significant regression risk — makes LAD a strong home favorite."
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The Dodgers' elite offense averaging 6.25 runs per game against Jack Leiter — whose career numbers suggest significant regression risk — makes LAD a strong home favorite."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -23.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's superior offensive production and home-field advantage at Dodger Stadium overwhelm TEX's weak batting lineup despite Leiter's strong season start."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +11.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's superior offensive production and home-field advantage at Dodger Stadium overwhelm TEX's weak batting lineup despite Leiter's strong season start."
over under
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's superior offensive production and home-field advantage at Dodger Stadium overwhelm TEX's weak batting lineup despite Leiter's strong season start."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Edge: +9.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD -1.5
Edge: +7.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +155 | -190 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +115 | -127 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +155 | -195 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -124) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -143 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +158 | -180 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +149 | -181 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +158 | -190 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +109 | -131 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -136 (-1.5) | +113 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +104 | -122 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +150 | -180 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +115 | -127 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -133 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +156 | -185 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -133 (-1.5) | +109 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.