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Final 2-3
Globe Life Field
SEA
Seattle Mariners
George Kirby
2
@
TEX
Texas Rangers
Nathan Eovaldi
3
2026-04-08 · 00:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
All 3 models agree (away)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -4.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Nathan Eovaldi's historically poor 2026 start (11.42 ERA, 2.19 WHIP) is the dominant factor, giving Seattle a significant pitching advantage despite their anemic offense."
run line
30%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -10.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Nathan Eovaldi's historically poor 2026 start (11.42 ERA, 2.19 WHIP) is the dominant factor, giving Seattle a significant pitching advantage despite their anemic offense."
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: -14.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Nathan Eovaldi's historically poor 2026 start (11.42 ERA, 2.19 WHIP) is the dominant factor, giving Seattle a significant pitching advantage despite their anemic offense."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -4.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Nathan Eovaldi's historically poor 11.42 ERA this season vs George Kirby's stability creates a significant pitching mismatch favoring Seattle."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -1.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Nathan Eovaldi's historically poor 11.42 ERA this season vs George Kirby's stability creates a significant pitching mismatch favoring Seattle."
over under
68%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: +16.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Nathan Eovaldi's historically poor 11.42 ERA this season vs George Kirby's stability creates a significant pitching mismatch favoring Seattle."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA
Edge: -9.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA +1.5
Edge: +1.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 7.5
Edge: +2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -180 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -118 | +107 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +146 (+1.5) | -166 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -124 | +100 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -112/U -112) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -177 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -111 | +101 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +144 (+1.5) | -165 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -118 | -102 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -126 | +104 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +141 (+1.5) | -171 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -116 | -102 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -182 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -118 | +107 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +147 (+1.5) | -166 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -116 | -101 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -179 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.