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Final 7-1
Progressive Field
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Jared Jones
7
@
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Gavin Williams
1
2026-07-17 · 23:10 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
59%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
PIT
Edge: +11.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
run line
43%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
CLE -1.5
Edge: +5.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
over under
53%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Under 9.0
Edge: +1.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +110 | -135 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +113 | -125 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +112 | -130 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -113/U -106) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +115 | -126 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +109 | -131 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +162 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +109 | -131 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -104/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -199 (-1.5) | +163 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +112 | -132 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -114/U -106) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +113 | -125 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +171 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +108 | -126 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -103/U -118) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -192 (-1.5) | +162 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.