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Final 0-3
Rate Field
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Eric Lauer
0
@
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Davis Martin
3
2026-04-05 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -15.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Eric Lauer's early-season dominance combined with Chicago's historically bad team ERA (7.63) and high strikeout rate (36.8%) gives Toronto a decisive edge in this matchup."
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -15.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Eric Lauer's early-season dominance combined with Chicago's historically bad team ERA (7.63) and high strikeout rate (36.8%) gives Toronto a decisive edge in this matchup."
over under
29%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Eric Lauer's early-season dominance combined with Chicago's historically bad team ERA (7.63) and high strikeout rate (36.8%) gives Toronto a decisive edge in this matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR
Edge: -15.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR +1.5
Edge: -12.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -165 | +140 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +105 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -164 | +148 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -103/U -117) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -167 | +133 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -107/U -115) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +108 (+1.5) | -132 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -165 | +146 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -175 | +144 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -170 | +143 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -163 | +135 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +107 (+1.5) | -128 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -166 | +140 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -170 | +140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -164 | +148 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -115) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +103 (+1.5) | -117 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -164 | +138 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -101 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.