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Final 0-6
Oracle Park
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez
0
@
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Robbie Ray
6
2026-04-08 · 01:45 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (away)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -14.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Cristopher Sánchez's elite early-season performance (0.79 ERA, 13.78 K/9) against a Giants offense that ranks among the worst in MLB (.208 BA, .561 OPS, 2.6 R/G) is the decisive edge in this matchup."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -7.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Cristopher Sánchez's elite early-season performance (0.79 ERA, 13.78 K/9) against a Giants offense that ranks among the worst in MLB (.208 BA, .561 OPS, 2.6 R/G) is the decisive edge in this matchup."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.0
Edge: -15.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Cristopher Sánchez's elite early-season performance (0.79 ERA, 13.78 K/9) against a Giants offense that ranks among the worst in MLB (.208 BA, .561 OPS, 2.6 R/G) is the decisive edge in this matchup."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -11.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"PHI's elite starting pitcher Sanchez with 0.79 ERA significantly outmatches SFG's Ray and SFG's 1-6 home record creates vulnerability."
run line
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -6.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"PHI's elite starting pitcher Sanchez with 0.79 ERA significantly outmatches SFG's Ray and SFG's 1-6 home record creates vulnerability."
over under
71%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.0
Edge: +13.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"PHI's elite starting pitcher Sanchez with 0.79 ERA significantly outmatches SFG's Ray and SFG's 1-6 home record creates vulnerability."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SFG
Edge: +2.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SFG -1.5
Edge: -5.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 6.5
Edge: +0.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -150 | +125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -130 | +118 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -162 | +128 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -107/U -117) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +114 (+1.5) | -141 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -150 | +134 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -154 | +129 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -135 | +115 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -136 | +113 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +113 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -126 | +108 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +132 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -140 | +115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -130 | +118 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +118 (+1.5) | -133 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -154 | +131 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -111/U -111) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +114 (+1.5) | -139 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.