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Final 5-3
Comerica Park
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Kyle Leahy
5
@
DET
Detroit Tigers
Keider Montero
3
2026-04-05 · 23:20 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -6.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Verlander's historically bad 2026 start (12.27 ERA, 2.18 WHIP) at age 43 is a major red flag that offsets his legendary career credentials and home field advantage."
run line
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -21.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Verlander's historically bad 2026 start (12.27 ERA, 2.18 WHIP) at age 43 is a major red flag that offsets his legendary career credentials and home field advantage."
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Verlander's historically bad 2026 start (12.27 ERA, 2.18 WHIP) at age 43 is a major red flag that offsets his legendary career credentials and home field advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
STL
Edge: +1.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET -1.5
Edge: -2.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
PUSH
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +120 | -145 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +122 | -135 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -116/U -104) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +157 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +120 | -155 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -110) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +120 | -132 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +118 | -141 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +118 | -140 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +124 | -149 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +148 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +120 | -142 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -188 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +115 | -140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +122 | -135 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -114/U -101) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +120 | -141 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -114/U -108) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -183 (-1.5) | +148 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.