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Final 9-7
American Family Field
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman
9
@
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Jacob Misiorowski
7
2026-04-14 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -12.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"George Springer's fractured toe and Toronto's 0-3 road record significantly weaken their offensive potential against a home Brewers team averaging over 5 runs per game."
run line
31%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -4.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"George Springer's fractured toe and Toronto's 0-3 road record significantly weaken their offensive potential against a home Brewers team averaging over 5 runs per game."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"George Springer's fractured toe and Toronto's 0-3 road record significantly weaken their offensive potential against a home Brewers team averaging over 5 runs per game."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +4.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's superior run production (5.29 vs 3.93 RPG) and team ERA advantage combined with Gausman's regression risk make the Brewers strong home favorites."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +6.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's superior run production (5.29 vs 3.93 RPG) and team ERA advantage combined with Gausman's regression risk make the Brewers strong home favorites."
over under
26%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Milwaukee's superior run production (5.29 vs 3.93 RPG) and team ERA advantage combined with Gausman's regression risk make the Brewers strong home favorites."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR
Edge: -4.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL -1.5
Edge: -2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +175 (+1.5) | -235 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +104 | -115 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -130/U 110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +100 | -122 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -122/U -103) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +170 (+1.5) | -225 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +106 | -116 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -225 (-1.5) | +185 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -118 | -102 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -163 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -124 | +106 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -120 | +100 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +104 | -115 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -128/U 112) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -209 (-1.5) | +182 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +103 | -120 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -125/U 102) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -213 (-1.5) | +171 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.