Back to Schedule
Final 5-6
Truist Park
MIA
Miami Marlins
Max Meyer
5
@
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Reynaldo López
6
2026-04-14 · 23:15 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -20.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Reynaldo López's exceptional 2026 season (1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) gives Atlanta a major pitching advantage over a struggling Max Meyer (4.66 ERA, 4.89 BB/9)."
run line
31%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -12.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Reynaldo López's exceptional 2026 season (1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) gives Atlanta a major pitching advantage over a struggling Max Meyer (4.66 ERA, 4.89 BB/9)."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Reynaldo López's exceptional 2026 season (1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP) gives Atlanta a major pitching advantage over a struggling Max Meyer (4.66 ERA, 4.89 BB/9)."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -5.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Reynaldo López's exceptional 1.64 ERA and ATL's dominant pitching staff (2.5 team ERA) should dominate Max Meyer's struggling 4.66 ERA."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -1.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Reynaldo López's exceptional 1.64 ERA and ATL's dominant pitching staff (2.5 team ERA) should dominate Max Meyer's struggling 4.66 ERA."
over under
26%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Reynaldo López's exceptional 1.64 ERA and ATL's dominant pitching staff (2.5 team ERA) should dominate Max Meyer's struggling 4.66 ERA."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL
Edge: -19.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL -1.5
Edge: +7.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +140 | -165 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +139 | -153 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -148 (-1.5) | +128 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +132 | -167 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -114/U -109) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +132 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +145 | -163 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +142 | -172 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +140 | -165 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +139 | -168 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -122/U 102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -156 (-1.5) | +129 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +136 | -162 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -156 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +135 | -165 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +139 | -153 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -109) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -147 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +139 | -164 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -152 (-1.5) | +122 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.