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Final 2-6
Truist Park
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Michael Wacha
2
@
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Reynaldo López
6
2026-03-28 · 23:15 UTC
Predictions
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +12.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Atlanta's strong offensive output in their season opener (6 runs, 3 HRs, .324 BA) versus Kansas City's weak start (0 runs, .167 BA) creates a clear home advantage."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +17.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Atlanta's strong offensive output in their season opener (6 runs, 3 HRs, .324 BA) versus Kansas City's weak start (0 runs, .167 BA) creates a clear home advantage."
over under
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Edge: +10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Atlanta's strong offensive output in their season opener (6 runs, 3 HRs, .324 BA) versus Kansas City's weak start (0 runs, .167 BA) creates a clear home advantage."
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +118 | -150 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 6.5 (O -105/U -120) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +127 | -140 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +118 | -148 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -117/U -107) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +126 | -140 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +115 | -150 | |
| Bovada | over under | 6.0 (O -110/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -145 (-1.0) | +110 (+1.0) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +119 | -143 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -168 (-1.5) | +139 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +122 | -144 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +127 | -140 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +146 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +125 | -154 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 6.0 (O -125/U -111) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.