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Final 7-9
Daikin Park
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
Jack Kochanowicz
7
@
HOU
Houston Astros
Tatsuya Imai
9
2026-03-29 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -4.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kochanowicz's poor career track record (5.77 ERA, 5-17) is the primary concern for LAA, while Peña's return gives Houston a lineup boost at home."
run line
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -3.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kochanowicz's poor career track record (5.77 ERA, 5-17) is the primary concern for LAA, while Peña's return gives Houston a lineup boost at home."
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Edge: +0.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kochanowicz's poor career track record (5.77 ERA, 5-17) is the primary concern for LAA, while Peña's return gives Houston a lineup boost at home."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA
Edge: +18.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA +1.5
Edge: -0.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
87%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.5
Edge: +32.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +575 | -1000 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -150 (-2.5) | +115 (+2.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +147 | -163 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -141 (-1.5) | +121 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +150 | -190 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 15.5 (O 190/U -360) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +210 (-2.5) | -335 (+2.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +145 | -163 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +143 | -174 | |
| Bovada | over under | 15.5 (O 115/U -150) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -105 (-3.0) | -125 (+3.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +1800 | -6000 | |
| Caesars | over under | 15.5 (O 260/U -350) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +1080 | -4800 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 15.5 (O 171/U -228) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +171 (-2.5) | -229 (+2.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +1400 | -6000 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 15.5 (O 205/U -290) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +205 (-2.5) | -290 (+2.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +1300 | -3000 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 15.5 (O 160/U -215) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +165 (-2.5) | -220 (+2.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +147 | -163 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -139 (-1.5) | +123 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +190 | -250 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 14.0 (O -111/U -125) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -455 (-1.5) | +280 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.