Skip to main content
Baseball Predictor
Log In
Back to Schedule
Scheduled PNC Park
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Shane McClanahan
@
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Mitch Keller
2026-04-19 · 17:35 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under 2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Shane McClanahan's alarming walk rate of 7.5 BB/9 this season — far above his career 2.73 — is the biggest wildcard, as command issues could quickly unravel his outing against a PIT lineup at home."

run line 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Shane McClanahan's alarming walk rate of 7.5 BB/9 this season — far above his career 2.73 — is the biggest wildcard, as command issues could quickly unravel his outing against a PIT lineup at home."

over under 50% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Shane McClanahan's alarming walk rate of 7.5 BB/9 this season — far above his career 2.73 — is the biggest wildcard, as command issues could quickly unravel his outing against a PIT lineup at home."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's superior pitching staff (3.16 ERA vs 4.44) combined with strong home performance provides a clear advantage over Tampa Bay."

run line 28% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's superior pitching staff (3.16 ERA vs 4.44) combined with strong home performance provides a clear advantage over Tampa Bay."

over under 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's superior pitching staff (3.16 ERA vs 4.44) combined with strong home performance provides a clear advantage over Tampa Bay."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 53% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
PIT
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 61% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
PIT -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 44% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.