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Final 1-2
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
NYM
New York Mets
Nolan McLean
1
@
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
2026-04-15 · 02:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -19.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Yoshinobu Yamamoto's elite command (0.75 BB/9) combined with the Dodgers' historically potent offense makes LAD a strong favorite against a young Mets starter making a major step up in competition."
run line
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -12.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Yoshinobu Yamamoto's elite command (0.75 BB/9) combined with the Dodgers' historically potent offense makes LAD a strong favorite against a young Mets starter making a major step up in competition."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Yoshinobu Yamamoto's elite command (0.75 BB/9) combined with the Dodgers' historically potent offense makes LAD a strong favorite against a young Mets starter making a major step up in competition."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -30.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"LAD's dominant 11-3 record with elite offensive (.879 OPS) and pitching metrics (3.6 ERA) versus NYM's struggling offense (.242 BA) creates significant matchup advantage."
run line
25%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -23.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"LAD's dominant 11-3 record with elite offensive (.879 OPS) and pitching metrics (3.6 ERA) versus NYM's struggling offense (.242 BA) creates significant matchup advantage."
over under
30%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"LAD's dominant 11-3 record with elite offensive (.879 OPS) and pitching metrics (3.6 ERA) versus NYM's struggling offense (.242 BA) creates significant matchup advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD
Edge: -26.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD -1.5
Edge: -15.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +165 | -200 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +195 | -218 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -124 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +170 | -220 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -106/U -118) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -136 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +174 | -200 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -121 (-1.5) | +101 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +167 | -204 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +185 | -225 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +184 | -226 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -122 (-1.5) | +102 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +184 | -220 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +185 | -225 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -110 (-1.5) | -110 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +195 | -218 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -121 (-1.5) | +107 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +171 | -204 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -101/U -120) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -133 (-1.5) | +108 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.