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Final 0-4 UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
NYM
New York Mets
David Peterson
0
@
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
Justin Wrobleski
4
2026-04-14 · 02:10 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under 2 of 3 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -23.0% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"David Peterson's early-season struggles (6.14 ERA, 1.84 WHIP) against the Dodgers' historically potent 2026 lineup (.879 OPS, 6.36 R/G) is the defining matchup advantage."

run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -10.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"David Peterson's early-season struggles (6.14 ERA, 1.84 WHIP) against the Dodgers' historically potent 2026 lineup (.879 OPS, 6.36 R/G) is the defining matchup advantage."

over under 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"David Peterson's early-season struggles (6.14 ERA, 1.84 WHIP) against the Dodgers' historically potent 2026 lineup (.879 OPS, 6.36 R/G) is the defining matchup advantage."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -24.0% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"LAD's overwhelming offensive and pitching superiority (11-3 record, .297 BA, 3.6 ERA) versus NYM's struggling pitcher Peterson (0-2, 6.14 ERA) creates a strong home advantage."

run line 24% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -20.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"LAD's overwhelming offensive and pitching superiority (11-3 record, .297 BA, 3.6 ERA) versus NYM's struggling pitcher Peterson (0-2, 6.14 ERA) creates a strong home advantage."

over under 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"LAD's overwhelming offensive and pitching superiority (11-3 record, .297 BA, 3.6 ERA) versus NYM's struggling pitcher Peterson (0-2, 6.14 ERA) creates a strong home advantage."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 44% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD
Edge: -19.0% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAD -1.5
Edge: -10.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
over under 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

Odds Comparison
Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline +140 -170
BetMGM over under 8.5 (O -118/U -102)
BetMGM run line -150 (-1.5) +125 (+1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline +167 -185
BetOnline.ag over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
BetOnline.ag run line -143 (-1.5) +123 (+1.5)
BetRivers moneyline +135 -175
BetRivers over under 8.5 (O -110/U -113)
BetRivers run line -155 (-1.5) +125 (+1.5)
BetUS moneyline +138 -155
BetUS over under 8.5 (O -120/U 100)
BetUS run line -145 (-1.5) +125 (+1.5)
Bovada moneyline +135 -161
Bovada over under 8.5 (O -110/U -110)
Bovada run line -140 (-1.5) +120 (+1.5)
Caesars moneyline +158 -190
Caesars over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
Caesars run line -125 (-1.5) +105 (+1.5)
DraftKings moneyline +159 -194
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
DraftKings run line -131 (-1.5) +109 (+1.5)
FanDuel moneyline +168 -200
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O -115/U -105)
FanDuel run line -134 (-1.5) +112 (+1.5)
Fanatics moneyline +135 -165
Fanatics over under 8.5 (O -110/U -110)
Fanatics run line -140 (-1.5) +115 (+1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline +167 -185
LowVig.ag over under 7.5 (O -107/U -107)
LowVig.ag run line -141 (-1.5) +125 (+1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline +137 -161
MyBookie.ag over under 8.5 (O -114/U -108)
MyBookie.ag run line -144 (-1.5) +117 (+1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.