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Final 2-1
Rogers Centre
COL
Colorado Rockies
Kyle Freeland
2
@
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Kevin Gausman
1
2026-04-01 · 17:07 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -15.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kevin Gausman's historically dominant early-season form with elite strikeouts and near-perfect control gives Toronto a massive starting pitching advantage over Kyle Freeland."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -14.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kevin Gausman's historically dominant early-season form with elite strikeouts and near-perfect control gives Toronto a massive starting pitching advantage over Kyle Freeland."
over under
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kevin Gausman's historically dominant early-season form with elite strikeouts and near-perfect control gives Toronto a massive starting pitching advantage over Kyle Freeland."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
79%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
COL
Edge: +48.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR -1.5
Edge: -18.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
97%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +240 | -300 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +110 (-1.5) | -130 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +233 | -262 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -103/U -117) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +250 | -335 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -113) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -103 (-1.5) | -122 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +222 | -260 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +230 | -290 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +222 | -278 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +224 | -280 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +102 (-1.5) | -122 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +225 | -275 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -104/U -118) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +106 (-1.5) | -128 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +225 | -280 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +233 | -262 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +103 (-1.5) | -117 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +239 | -294 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -109/U -112) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +103 (-1.5) | -127 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.