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Scheduled Sutter Health Park
TEX
Texas Rangers
Jack Leiter
@
OAK
Oakland Athletics
Jacob Lopez
2026-04-16 · 19:05 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line All 3 models agree (away)
over under 2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 45% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Jack Leiter's elite 2026 performance (2.45 ERA, 13.91 K/9) against Jacob Lopez's severe command issues (11.11 BB/9, 6.48 ERA) creates a stark pitching mismatch heavily favoring Texas."

run line 33% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Jack Leiter's elite 2026 performance (2.45 ERA, 13.91 K/9) against Jacob Lopez's severe command issues (11.11 BB/9, 6.48 ERA) creates a stark pitching mismatch heavily favoring Texas."

over under 51% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Jack Leiter's elite 2026 performance (2.45 ERA, 13.91 K/9) against Jacob Lopez's severe command issues (11.11 BB/9, 6.48 ERA) creates a stark pitching mismatch heavily favoring Texas."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Jack Leiter's exceptional early-season pitching (2.45 ERA, 13.91 K/9) creates significant advantage against Jacob Lopez's struggling performance (6.48 ERA)."

run line 28% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Jack Leiter's exceptional early-season pitching (2.45 ERA, 13.91 K/9) creates significant advantage against Jacob Lopez's struggling performance (6.48 ERA)."

over under 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Jack Leiter's exceptional early-season pitching (2.45 ERA, 13.91 K/9) creates significant advantage against Jacob Lopez's struggling performance (6.48 ERA)."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.