Back to Schedule
Final 3-2
American Family Field
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Nick Martinez
3
@
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Kyle Harrison
2
2026-03-30 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +0.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's dominant home offense (.971 OPS, 9.67 R/G) paired with Tampa Bay's struggling pitching staff (6.84 ERA) makes the Brewers clear favorites in this early-season matchup."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -2.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's dominant home offense (.971 OPS, 9.67 R/G) paired with Tampa Bay's struggling pitching staff (6.84 ERA) makes the Brewers clear favorites in this early-season matchup."
over under
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.0
Edge: +10.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Milwaukee's dominant home offense (.971 OPS, 9.67 R/G) paired with Tampa Bay's struggling pitching staff (6.84 ERA) makes the Brewers clear favorites in this early-season matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
66%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: +4.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
78%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL -1.5
Edge: +35.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 17.5
Edge: -1.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +135 | -160 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +120 | -132 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +130 | -162 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -110) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +141 | -158 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +139 | -165 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +135 | -160 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +135 | -163 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -161 (-1.5) | +133 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +116 | -134 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -120) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +168 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +120 | -132 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -154 (-1.5) | +136 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +134 | -159 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -111/U -110) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -162 (-1.5) | +132 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.