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Final 5-6
Great American Ball Park
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Sonny Gray
5
@
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Brady Singer
6
2026-03-28 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +15.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Boston's pitching advantage (Gray's career excellence vs Singer's mediocrity) combined with Cincinnati's offensive inability gives Boston the edge to win decisively."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +13.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Boston's pitching advantage (Gray's career excellence vs Singer's mediocrity) combined with Cincinnati's offensive inability gives Boston the edge to win decisively."
over under
65%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: +9.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Boston's pitching advantage (Gray's career excellence vs Singer's mediocrity) combined with Cincinnati's offensive inability gives Boston the edge to win decisively."
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +175 | -220 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 11.5 (O 110/U -145) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +333 (+1.5) | -475 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -135 | +122 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +124 (+1.5) | -144 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -148 | +118 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -104/U -121) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +116 (+1.5) | -143 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -135 | +122 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +240 | -335 | |
| Bovada | over under | 11.5 (O 165/U -220) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -475 (-1.5) | +315 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -143 | +119 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -117/U -103) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +119 (+1.5) | -143 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -142 | +120 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O 102/U -124) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -146 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -135 | +122 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +126 (+1.5) | -142 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +425 | -625 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O 125/U -182) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -833 (-1.5) | +450 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.