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Final 2-8
American Family Field
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Drew Rasmussen
2
@
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Jacob Misiorowski
8
2026-04-01 · 17:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -3.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Jacob Misiorowski's elite 19.8 K/9 gives Milwaukee a significant pitching edge, but his high walk rate and small sample size create uncertainty in the outcome."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +1.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Jacob Misiorowski's elite 19.8 K/9 gives Milwaukee a significant pitching edge, but his high walk rate and small sample size create uncertainty in the outcome."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Jacob Misiorowski's elite 19.8 K/9 gives Milwaukee a significant pitching edge, but his high walk rate and small sample size create uncertainty in the outcome."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
77%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL
Edge: +18.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
93%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIL -1.5
Edge: +52.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
80%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 14.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +122 | -135 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -109/U -111) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -183 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +123 | -152 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -109/U -114) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +124 | -137 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +119 | -142 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +118 | -140 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +119 | -143 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -186 (-1.5) | +153 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +120 | -142 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -176 (-1.5) | +146 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +120 | -145 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +122 | -135 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -106/U -108) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -183 (-1.5) | +161 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +122 | -143 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -112/U -109) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +148 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.